- GBP/USD slides below 1.3300 as bearish pressure intensifies.
- US Core CPI holds at 0.3% MoM, reinforcing Fed rate hike expectations.
- US 10-year Treasury yields reach 5% ahead of Thursday's UK GDP.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) drops against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as traders digest hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and Tuesday's hot US inflation report. At the time of writing, GBP/USD trades below the 1.3300 psychological figure, down 0.55%.
GBP/USD extends its decline below 1.3300, eyes on UK GDP and US PPI data
On Tuesday, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) dipped from 0.6% to 0.4% MoM in October, exceeding forecasts and signaling continued disinflation. But comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller opened the door to a 50-basis-point rate hike in December if core CPI was 0.3%. This was fulfilled as underlying inflation was 0.3% MoM for the third straight month, above estimates of 0.2%.
Consequently, market participants bought the US Dollar, in part underpinned by the rise of US Treasury yields. The 10-year T-note yield is at 5%, up nearly 12 basis points on Tuesday, while market participants fully price in a 25-basis-point rate hike, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Other Fed officials crossed the wires. Dallas Fed Lorie Logan and Philadelphia’s Fed Anna Paulson were also hawkish. Logan said that it may be possible to raise rates “more rapidly this winter,” while Paulson said that the “Fed will move more aggressively if inflation landscape worsens.”
In the Fed’s moderate camp were Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, with the former saying that persistent inflation suggests there is more work to do, while the latter added that there are concerning price trends, excluding the whole energy story.
In the UK, the docket was light, but investors are bracing for Thursday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures. In the US, market participants eye the release of jobless claims and housing data ahead of Friday’s Producer Price Index (PPI).
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3282, keeping a bearish near-term tone as spot holds beneath a dense band of medium-term resistance. The latest reading of the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) around 1.3352 sits comfortably above price, suggesting rallies remain capped while the pair trades under this cluster. A pair of downward-sloping resistance trend lines, drawn from 1.3869 and 1.3653, also run above the market, reinforcing the idea of a market contained within a broader corrective channel. Momentum backs this cautious stance, with the 14-period Relative Strength Index at 43.6, pointing to subdued buying interest and leaving scope for further corrective slippage if sellers regain control.
On the topside, initial resistance is defined by the nearer of the two descending trend lines projected from 1.3653, with a break there exposing the higher downtrend line drawn from 1.3869 and, beyond that, the confluent 50/100/200-day SMA cluster near 1.3352. On the downside, immediate support is anticipated from the first upward-sloping trend line that originates at 1.3159, ahead of a secondary rising support line anchored at 1.3140; a daily close below these structural floors would likely signal that bears are extending the broader decline.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Pound Sterling Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).
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