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FX Desk

Taiwan: AI boom sustains trade surplus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economists, led by Dr. Henry Hao and colleagues, note Taiwan’s August trade surplus hit a record USD22.3bn, driven by strong AI-related exports. Electronics and semiconductor shipments sur…

Japan: BoJ tightening path in focus – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25%, citing persistent price pressures. They project two further 25bp hikes in January and …

California enacts new curbs on social media for children

Effective January 1, 2026, many of California’s newly enacted artificial intelligence (AI) regulations took effect. The more than 20 new AI laws signed by Governor Gavin Newsom regulate AI, data pri…

Euro: Hawkish ECB fails to lift Euro – Commerzbank

Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a second rate hike this year and raised its inflation projections above 2%, which their economists see as pointing to ano…

FX Outlook: CPI Can Seal the Deal on a Fed Hike

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday. The report is expected to show a small decline in annual core inflation. Any divergence from …