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Gilts & Bonds

Bond Market Tests the Inflation Narrative as Yields Tumble

This past weekend, Adam Taggart and I discussed what happens to Treasury bond yields when the United States enters a military conflict. The conventional wisdom is reflexive and tidy. A conflict trigge…

Are Bonds Pricing in a Fed Policy Mistake?

Imagine someone looking into their crystal ball and telling you at the beginning of October that the coming September CPI data would be higher than expected, and producer prices (PPI) would rise 1.3% …

Rates Outlook: Don’t Expect a Break Back Below 5%

Millions of Americans will move forward with home purchases this year, despite mortgage rates that won’t budge from their perch above 6% and home prices that continue to break records. Some of these b…

Rates Outlook: Don’t Get Too Comfortable

Crude oil prices jumped and stock prices fell after President Trump declared an end to the fragile ceasefire in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. military attacked dozens of targets along the Iranian coa…

Rates Outlook: Volatility Is No Friend of Spreads

📘 Why Manual Forex Trading Is Officially Dead — And AI Will Bury It in 2026 ________________________________________ 1. 🚨 Executive Summary Manual FX trading is not merely declining—it is entering its…

Rising Real Yields Point to a 6% 10-Year Treasury Rate

The Relationship Every Gold Trader Should Understand Why Falling Real Yields Continue to Be One of Gold's Most Powerful Bullish Catalysts "Gold does not compete with stocks. Gold does not compete with…

Rates Outlook: Bifurcated Risk Sentiment

(Kitco News) – Gold prices saw another choppy week, as renewed Middle East uncertainty and bargain-hunting failed to offset pressure from elevated Treasury yields, a resilient U.S. dollar, and fresh e…

Repricing the ECB Path

It is a privilege to be here in Tallinn to deliver this lecture in memory of Professor Ragnar Nurkse. Widely regarded as one of the intellectual fathers of the post-war Bretton Woods system, his work …

What Do Parabolic Treasury Yields Tell Us?

Precious metals investors are watching market conditions closely as gold and silver hover at pivotal price points. While both metals have already posted impressive gains, multiple converging factors s…

Rates Spark: Widening Fiscal Woes

SEOUL – A surge in long-term US Treasury yields is driving up borrowing costs in Korea, lifting government bond yields and adding pressure on companies, households and stocks.

Rates Fall Sharply Ahead of the September Jobs Report

TOKYO - Tokyo stocks fell on October 2, with the Nikkei 225 closing at 68,309, down 647 points, as investors took profits after the previous day’s sharp rally and turned cautious ahead of U.S. employm…