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Gilts & Bonds

Crowded Out: The AI Boom Is Reshaping Bond Markets

Southeast Asia's trade-oriented economies are facing a confluence of global trade shocks. The Trump administration in the United States has imposed punitive tariffs while depressed domestic demand in …

3% Real TIPS Yields: Boring but Valuable

Investors face a challenging environment during the second half of 2022, needing to navigate rising interest rates, high inflation and resurfacing geopolitical risks. In the near term, gold will likel…

Long-End Risks, ECB Conviction and UK Data Tests

Lower Fed hike odds have calmed front-end USD rates, but long-end Treasuries remain vulnerable to higher real yields, fiscal supply pressure and yen spillovers. In Europe, markets remain focused on a …

Lacy Hunt Turns Bearish Bonds: Studying His Reversal

Economist Lacy Hunt has been a bond bull longer than most money managers have been in the business. Recently, he made a surprising U-turn on his bullish stance. The following paragraph opens his Secon…

Rates Outlook: Tricky Relative Value Amid Geopolitics

Eastspring’s Multi Asset Portfolio Solutions team remains tactically constructive on global equities, favouring the US over Europe, but with clear restraint amid unresolved tensions. On fixed income, …

The Bond Market Is Sending Gold a Debt Warning

In today’s update: US fiscal pressure and gold prices are moving in lockstep today — with the Fed frozen at 3.50–3.75%, Treasury’s own debt buyers flagging a $1.3 trillion shortfall, and services infl…

Market Optimism Helps Hawkish Bias

Gold is recouping losses above $4,300 in Thursday’s Asian session as the dust settles in the aftermath of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision and the signing of the US-Iran peace dea…

Rates Are Seeking New Levels to Settle

This briefing examines international students in the UK. It presents statistics on their numbers, characteristics, economic impact, what they do after their studies, and how many settle in the UK.