#Gold and #silver prices moved lower as investors awaited key US inflation data and reassessed interest-rate expectations. #GoldPrice #SilverPrice #Commodities https://lnkd.in/eFT-2ZEi
Gold and Silver Prices Fall Amid US Inflation DataMore Relevant Posts
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📉 Gold falls below US$4,000 as Fed rate risks weigh Gold fell below US$4,000 an ounce on Friday and was on track for a weekly loss of more than 5%, as hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve outweighed support from easing geopolitical tensions. Bullion had briefly rebounded after the latest US PCE inflation data came in broadly in line with expectations, helping ease fears of an imminent Fed rate hike and pushing the US dollar and Treasury yields lower. But the broader pressure remains firmly tied to rates. Markets are pricing around an 80% chance of a Fed hike in December, while expectations for a September move have also risen after last week’s hawkish pause. At the same time, oil prices have continued to retreat toward pre-conflict levels as progress in US–Iran peace negotiations eased concerns over Middle East supply disruption and helped ease inflation concerns. For markets, gold is now caught between two forces: lower geopolitical risk reducing safe-haven demand, and a hawkish Fed keeping pressure on non-yielding assets. #Gold #Fed #USD #TreasuryYields #Oil #Inflation #Geopolitics #Macro #Markets #VantageUpdates #VantageMarkets Trading CFDs involves the risk of losing substantially more than the initial investment, and CFD investors do not own or have any rights to underlying assets. General advice only and does not constitute any investment advice. Please see our TMD, PDS and FSG on our website before trading. Vantage Global Prime Pty Ltd AFSL 428901.
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Gold spent most of the week under pressure as traders repriced the Fed path around a hotter inflation tape and last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report. Spot gold is trading near $4,155.68/oz on Friday morning, roughly $174.90 below last Friday's close near $4,330.58, leaving the yellow metal down about 4.04% for the week. The main macro catalyst was the May CPI print, which showed annual inflation running at 4.2%, the hottest year-over-year reading since 2023. That kept rate uncertainty front and center and made it harder for gold to hold the $4,200 area. Geopolitics complicated the trade rather than giving gold a clean haven bid. Continued reassessment of the US-Iran ceasefire reduced some of the risk premium that had supported gold near its June peak of $4,498.43, while reports that President Trump canceled planned military strikes against Iran helped crude oil prices, Treasury yields, and the dollar ease late in the week. Silver held up better, gaining about $0.90 on the week, while platinum moved lower and palladium extended its stronger run. Next Wednesday's June FOMC decision is now the key catalyst. Traders will be watching Chair Kevin Warsh's first meeting for any signal on how the Fed plans to balance sticky inflation, resilient labor data, and energy-market risk.
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Precious metals remained under pressure as stronger U.S. economic data continued to reshape Federal Reserve expectations. Here is your weekly update for 16-06-26 Gold fell 4.9% to $4,337.10/oz, while silver declined 8.8% to $68.94/oz, marking its fourth consecutive weekly loss and extending its recent correction. A stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report pushed Treasury yields, real yields, and the U.S. dollar higher, reducing expectations for near-term rate cuts and weighing heavily on gold and silver prices. Looking ahead, markets will closely monitor U.S. CPI and PPI inflation data, the Federal Reserve meeting, Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, and developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran agreement for further direction in bullion markets. #AshokaGlobal #WeeklyOutlook #GoldMarket #SilverMarket #MarketUpdate #PreciousMetals
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Gold spent most of the week under pressure as traders repriced the Fed path around a hotter inflation tape and last week's stronger-than-expected jobs report. Spot gold is trading near $4,227/oz on Friday morning, roughly $103 below last Friday's close near $4,330, leaving the yellow metal down about 2.4% for the week. The main macro catalyst was the May CPI print, which showed annual inflation running at 4.2%, the hottest year-over-year reading since 2023. That kept rate uncertainty front and center and made it harder for gold to hold the $4,300 area. Geopolitics complicated the tape rather than giving gold a clean haven bid. Continued reassessment of the US-Iran ceasefire reduced some of the risk premium that had supported gold near $4,500, while reports that President Trump canceled planned military strikes against Iran helped crude oil prices, Treasury yields, and the Dollar ease late in the week. Silver held up better, gaining about $0.90 on the week, while platinum moved lower and palladium extended its stronger run. Next Wednesday's June FOMC decision is now the key catalyst. Traders will be watching Chair Kevin Warsh's first meeting for any signal on how the Fed plans to balance sticky inflation, resilient labor data, and energy-market risk.
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Gold and Silver Rebound as Markets Weigh Fed Path and Dollar Weakness Gold and silver prices moved higher in recent trading, drawing renewed buying interest as a softer dollar and lingering uncertainty over Federal Reserve policy kept safe-haven and inflation-hedge demand alive. Precious metals staged a recovery in the latest session, with gold and silver both posting gains after a period of pressure. The move reflects a broader reassessment by investors of where interest rates are headed and what that means for assets that carry no yield — a calculation that tends to favor gold and silver when the outlook turns uncertain....
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Most people are watching gold's price. I'm watching real yields. Since 2022, the correlation between US 5-year real yields and gold has been almost mechanical — when real yields rise, gold suffers. When they fall, gold runs. Right now real yields remain elevated at +89% on a normalised basis, which explains why gold has struggled to recover after its parabolic move into early 2026. The setup heading into July 14th is straightforward. If US June CPI prints below the prior reading, the forward curve reprices lower, the market starts pricing out Fed hikes, real yields compress, and gold finds structural support for a new leg higher. The nuance most will miss: one data point isn't enough. Fed Chair Warsh testifies to Congress the same day. If he stays hawkish while inflation disappoints, the signal cancels. Both catalysts need to align for a genuine regime shift. The divergence is already there. July 14th tells us whether the market is ready to close it. #Gold #MacroTrading #RealYields #FederalReserve
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📉 Gold Hits a New Year-to-Date Low Gold prices came under strong selling pressure today as the US Dollar continued to strengthen. Key reasons behind the move: • Stronger US Dollar reduced demand for Gold. • Markets expect the US Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer, making non-yielding assets like Gold less attractive. • Ongoing uncertainty around US-Iran developments is keeping inflation concerns alive and supporting the Dollar. • Investors are now waiting for upcoming US economic data, including labor market reports, which could influence the next move in Gold. Market Takeaway: When the US Dollar gains strength and interest rate expectations rise, Gold often faces downward pressure. The upcoming US economic data will be important in determining whether this trend continues. #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #Trading #FinancialMarkets #MarketUpdate
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Gold's rough quarter met a late-week pivot as softer US data revived the bull case. Early in the week, research flagged gold's worst quarter in over a decade, with prices breaking below $4,000 on fading debasement fears, easing Middle East tensions, and a hawkish Fed backdrop. One bearish thread argued rising real yields and a firmer dollar could pressure prices another 10–15% lower, with $3,860 flagged as a key technical level and $3,500 as deeper support. A separate note warned that higher Indian import duties could shave demand at the margin. From Thursday onward, the tone shifted. Following soft US private payrolls and less-hawkish signals from Fed Chair Warsh, multiple research desks argued the setup for gold had improved — pointing to a weaker dollar, peaking real yields, washed-out positioning, and persistent central bank buying. Medium-term targets cited ranged from $4,300–$4,500 into year-end, with one long-horizon call floating $10,000 by decade-end if reserve diversification continues. Structural bulls still frame pullbacks as accumulation zones. #Gold #Macro Daily digest · 5 July 2026 Read more: https://finchiefs.com Summary of public third-party research. Not investment advice or a personal recommendation. No position taken by FinChiefs. Verify on the source. Methodology and disclosures: https://lnkd.in/e6kju7Mh
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Gold has decreased by 30% from its all-time high, influenced by today's US GDP numbers, a rising dollar, and expectations of a rate hike in the US. The US reported a 2.1% growth in Q1, which is stronger than initially thought, and inflation has also risen. This may seem like positive news, but it poses challenges for gold holders. The combination of strong growth and persistent inflation means the Federal Reserve has little incentive to cut rates. Some traders are even anticipating a rate hike later this year. Gold typically struggles in this environment, as it yields no returns while sitting idle in a vault. Consequently, when yields remain high, investors tend to move their money from gold into bonds and the dollar. In Q1 alone, central banks purchased 244 tonnes of gold, with China increasing its reserves for 18 consecutive months. Major banks still have year-end targets for gold that are significantly higher than its current trading levels. This situation reflects shifting rate expectations rather than a narrative that gold is failing. Markets often react to narratives before they align with facts. Today's narrative suggests a hawkish Fed is advantageous for the dollar, while gold suffers. However, this narrative can change rapidly. What are your thoughts? Is this a moment to buy the dip for gold, or is the bull run truly over? Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Goldsilver #Gold #GDP #FederalReserve #MacroEconomics #FinancialMarkets
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Gold outlook for mid-2026: CPI data and Fed policy set to drive direction With inflation data and Federal Reserve signals converging as the dominant forces in precious metals markets, gold faces a pivotal stretch heading into the second half of 2026. Gold's near-term trajectory hinges on two familiar variables: where consumer prices land and how the Federal Reserve responds. As June 2026 unfolds, both remain genuinely uncertain — and that uncertainty itself tends to keep demand for safe-haven assets elevated....
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