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Derivatives

Energy Price Forecasts Revised Higher Amid Stalemate

Good morning, lovely people, and happy hump day. Today’s issue is packed with energy news — from retail fuel price hike to macroeconomic headwinds as another ratings agency trims India’s GDP forecast.…

Gold Bear Market Deepens as Rate Hike Odds Surge

Most commodity markets operate on a single dominant clock. Supply tightens, prices rise. Demand weakens, prices fall. Gold, by contrast, runs on at least two clocks simultaneously, and they are curren…

Crude Oil Threatens Breakout Amid US-Iran Re-Escalation

The United States and Israel launched a major military campaign against Iran on Feb. 28, triggering a weekslong war that has spread to neighboring countries and roiled energy markets around the globe.

The Next Commodity Shock May Begin in the Pacific

Forecasts point to a strong El Niño event at the end of 2026, raising fears over food supplies and prices. While we believe these fears are overstated at the global level, El Niño poses a more signifi…

Gold prices flat ahead of Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Asian markets traded cautiously on Thursday, with much of the region's price action muted as traders adopted a wait and see approach ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, e…