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FX Desk
GBP/USD Rebound Signals a Sharp Shift in UK Rate Expectations
GBP/USD is trading at 1.3366, up 0.69% on the day. Other quotes put the pair at 1.3369, up 0.70%, or 93 pips. The pound has moved steadily higher through the European session. At 6:15 a.m. ET it was a…
The Kiwi defies hot US inflation as Fed pause bets weaken the USD
The New Zealand Dollar ended the week on a higher note against the US Dollar, up 0.55% to 0.5652, as the Greenback weakened amid investors' skepticism about a Fed hike in October despite the US docket…
Canada: Energy-driven resilience with limited core pass-through – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) strategis Claire Fan and Abbey Xu expect Canada’s headline Consumer Price Index to remain at 3% year-over-year in September, supported by higher gasoline and furnace Oil pri…
Gold stumbles as US yields eclipse fading October Fed hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats about 0.10%, trading at $4,163 on Friday, poised for a weekly loss as traders assess recent US inflation data, which, although hotter than foreseen, led investors to trim…
Bank of Korea: Policy patience case – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park expects the Bank of Korea to keep its base rate at 3.00% through October and November, despite a less favourable inflation-growth mix. The report highlights sticky…
U.S. yields fall for the week as AI debt jitters drive traders to safe-haven bonds
The US dollar fell 0.25 per cent to 101.77 on Friday. The drop puts the greenback on course for a 0.45 per cent weekly decline as debt strains across the tech sector rattled global markets.
USD/JPY Near 158 as Yield Gap Support Collides With Japan’s Intervention Risk
The dollar starts the final week of September regaining ground against the yen. USD/JPY trades at 157.746, up 0.4985 or 0.32% on the session, after bouncing from a Monday low of 156.95. The pair print…
Taiwan Dollar: Foreign outflows pressure currency – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Taiwan Dollar (TWD) has extended losses on heavy foreign equity outflows, partly retracing into the Asian close amid talk of CBC lean…
Dollar Index slips as Fed Chair Warsh won't prejudge October
Fed Chair Warsh's last word before the quiet period was that he doesn't prejudge meetings, and the Dollar Index is lower on it, though the drop stalled near 101.60 twice. It fell from just above 102.0…
British Pound breaks 1.3350 as Warsh stays vague, BoE hike bets build
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh didn’t provide forward guidance on interest rates, while expectations that the Ban…
Canadian Dollar climbs to two-week high despite hawkish Fed expectations
USD/CAD extends its decline on Friday as broad US Dollar (USD) weakness lifts the Canadian Dollar (CAD) to its highest level in more than two weeks. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.41…
Fed: Higher yields keep tightening path intact – Nordea
Nordea’s research team keeps its Federal Reserve outlook unchanged, expecting one more rate hike this year and another in 2027 as US inflation remains above the 2% target and growth stays strong. The …
Mexican Peso sinks as US-Mexico trade talks stall
The Mexican Peso (MXN) losses ground against the Greenback on Friday amid broader US Dollar (USD) weakness, as Mexico’s economic docket is absent, leaving traders leaning into US dynamics. At the time…
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Recovery remains fragile below key moving averages
EUR/USD struggles to extend its gains on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies after coming under heavy pressure on Thursday. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1230, below an intraday …
Bank of Canada: Inflation-growth tradeoff keeps policy on hold – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada economists Claire Fan and Abbey Xu assess upcoming Canadian inflation data and the Bank of Canada’s Q3 Business Outlook Survey ahead of the Oct. 28 policy decision. They highlight…
Swedish Krona: Forecasts turned cautious – Nordea
Nordea strategists concede their long‑standing positive view on the Swedish Krona (SEK) has not materialized and now adopt an agnostic stance. SEK has been hurt by Middle East‑related risk‑off flows, …
US Dollar: Flatter curve supports currency – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes that the Dollar is benefiting from a flatter US yield curve as hot inflation data keeps short-dated rates elevated while long-dated Treasuries recover. He argues this backdrop…
Euro: Bullish reversal builds above support – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team notes EUR/USD is supported by modest narrowing in front-end Eurozone–US spreads following dovish-leaning comments from Fed Chair Warsh. French OAT/Bund spreads rem…
Euro gains ground as AI jitters overshadow Fed rate hike bets
EUR/USD extends its recovery on Friday, trading around 1.1255 at the time of writing, up 0.32% on the day. The Euro (EUR) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD), rebounding from a 16-mont…
WTI holds weekly gains near $96 amid risk premium to oil prices
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, holds onto weekly gains near $96.00 during the European trading session on Friday. The oil price has gained significantly this week, as financial marke…
Oil: Gradual price decline with dark transit support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Dr. Jörg Krämer, Dr. Vincent Stamer and colleagues argue that Middle East crude exports have nearly returned to pre-war levels thanks to dark transits through the Strait of Horm…
Gold holds firm but struggles to build momentum as Fed rate-hike risks linger
Gold (XAU/USD) holds modest gains on Friday, supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and lower Treasury yields. However, hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep buyers cautious about chasing pri…
0.6900: A key level to watch for AUD/USD amid Head and Shoulders formation
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is up 0.41% higher at around 0.6950 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair strengthens as the market sentiment turns ris…