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FX Desk

USD: Speculative longs steady as Fed hikes – Rabobank

Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets FX Strategy team notes that USD net long speculative positions were broadly unchanged, with both longs and shorts rising modestly. The Federal Reserv…

FX Outlook: Data Back in the Driver’s Seat This Week

Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February sta…

Oil: Higher prices drive yields and Dollar – MUFG

Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that Oil has been one of the biggest movers, with prices rising back towards recent highs around USD110/barrel. The move reflects disappointment over limited progress on…

US Dollar Bulls Hand the Wheel Back to the Data

Markets currently have around 16 basis points priced for the October meeting after briefly reaching 19 last week. Friday’s payroll report is therefore shaping up as the first serious test of whether t…

US Dollar: Cyclical support and energy resilience – HSBC

HSBC’s FX Viewpoint argues the broad US Dollar is likely to strengthen modestly in the near term as cyclical, political and structural forces turn more supportive. The bank highlights firm US rate exp…

USD/JPY: Weekly review highlights Dollar strength – MUFG

MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews USD/JPY price action over Japan’s extended holiday week. The pair opened near 157 and traded in a broad 156–159 range as Dollar strength persisted and expectations of a possi…

India rates: Spreads seen narrowing further – DBS

DBS Group Research strategist Sherilyn Chew contrasts India’s domestic backdrop with Indonesia, arguing India is deeper into a tightening phase. Markets are pricing a possible Reserve Bank of India (R…