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FX Desk

Indonesian Rupiah: Oil and US inflation pose risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan warns that upcoming US inflation data could test the recent Rupiah recovery, as firmer US inflation may reinforce elevated US yields and challenge USD/IDR’s break below 17,700. He no…

Pound Sterling's rate advantage buys it no say this week

GBP/USD holds just under 1.3550 after a Monday that covered 42 pips with American desks shut for Labor Day. The week that follows is not that. Pound Sterling carries the higher policy rate of the two,…

A German landslide moved the Euro by nothing at all

EUR/USD holds above 1.1600, seven pips above where Monday opened. The pair has had three chances to move over four sessions and has taken none of them. Both central banks are priced to raise rates thi…

Equities: AI-led upside and income focus – HSBC

HSBC’s Willem Sels highlights that accelerating AI adoption, resilient growth and broadening earnings are supporting global equities into Q4 2026. The bank has recently added exposure to global stocks…

Gold: Bull market conviction broadens – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem describe a broad-based Gold bull market in 2026, driven by ETFs, futures and options positioning. They highlight strong physical ETF inflows, …

US Dollar: CPI outcome to steer Fed path – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) weakened on broad Japanese Yen strength before partially recovering as strong US August payrolls revived expectations for a Septe…

Japanese Yen: September BoJ decision shapes path – HSBC

HSBC highlights that markets now expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to tighten policy more quickly, with overnight index swaps implying about 75bp of cumulative hikes by April 2027 and assigning odds to a…

Brent: Supply risks support prices – Danske Bank

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes Brent crude trading near USD 97 as renewed US-Iran strikes around the Strait of Hormuz raise concerns over prolonged disruptions to Middle East energy flows. T…