Experts split on whether next RBA move is a hike or cut amid energy risks
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unanimously held rates at 4.35% in August, but major economic forecasters offer varying takes on what comes next:
FX Desk
Gold trades with positive bias below $4,400; Fed hike bets cap gains ahead of US CPI
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from the $4,435 region, or the highest level since June 5. The commodity, h…
Japanese Yen slides to two-week low, seems vulnerable as USD stands firm ahead of US CPI
The USD/JPY pair touches a one-and-a-half-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now looking to build on the momentum further beyond mid-159.00s amid a supportive fundamental back…
Australian Dollar slips as US Dollar strengthens amid uncertainty over Fed outlook
AUD/USD depreciates after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7060 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency pair loses ground as the US Dollar (USD) rises ahead of …
Euro stalls below 100-day SMA as investors brace for US CPI
The single currency registers minimal losses against the Greenback on Tuesday as traders and market participants prepare for the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, which could …
Forex Today: US Dollar on pause ahead of US CPI
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading little changed in the vicinity below the 100.00 price zone ahead of the United States (US) July Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected on Wednesday. Investo…
Thai Baht: Benign inflation keeps BoT on hold – Commerzbank
Commerzbank strategists note July Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 2.0% year-on-year, below consensus, mainly due to softer retail fuel prices. While core CPI has been gradually rising, overall pri…
Oil: Strait of Hormuz risk premium – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s energy team notes fading hopes for a US–Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, driving Brent toward USD 90 and gas oil to nearly USD 1,350 per ton. Drone attacks on refineries in…
Australian Dollar: Policy risks balanced as inflation lingers – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate at 4.35% in a unanimous decision, as widely expected. Chia notes the RBA sees inflation returning…
Chinese Yuan: Measured appreciation with strong RMB – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/CNH slipped after weak US payrolls, with the Renminbi (RMB) near its strongest levels in over three years. They see room for further Renminbi (RMB) s…
GBP/USD Range Trade Reflects a Vanishing Policy Rate Differential
GBP/USD traded at 1.3508 on Tuesday, holding near 1.3500 and extending a recovery that began at the late-June low of 1.3150. The pair sits above its 50-day moving average, testing the highs of last we…
Japan: BoJ inflation focus and rate risks – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley examines Japanese inflation dynamics and Bank of Japan policy. The report notes elevated Oil prices and supply risks, but stresses BoJ’s focus on core inflat…
Euro: Rangebound against US Dollar as volatility sinks – ING
Chris Turner at ING observes that EUR/USD realised volatility continues to decline, with one-year volatility matching lows from November 2024. He argues this calm backdrop is unlikely to change before…
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 8.25K
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in late July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 8.25K jobs per we…
Singapore: Strong growth momentum defies risks – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng highlights that Singapore’s economy is set to deliver above-trend growth for a third straight year in 2026, supported by manufacturing, wholesale trade and f…
Japanese Yen struggles as impact of joint intervention fades
USD/JPY treads water on Tuesday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to find its footing, facing headwinds from a firmer US Dollar (USD) and elevated Oil prices. At the time of writing, the pair trades…
Gold pauses near two-month high as Oil swings shape Fed outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) pauses its rally on Tuesday after hitting a two-month high of $4,435 earlier in Asian trading hours. Price action remains driven by movements in Oil prices and their impact on the Feder…
Australian Dollar: RBA softens hawkish stance – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a less hawkish hold, keeping rates at 4.35% and judging policy “somewhat restrictive” as the labor ma…
Indonesian Rupiah stays under pressure as Retail Sales YoY decline in June
USD/IDR gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 17,850 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair holds onto its gains as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) struggles following June Retail Sal…
Australian Dollar declines against New Zealand Dollar following RBA decision
AUD/NZD pares its daily gains, trading around 1.1960 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) has drifted lower following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest monetary po…
Dollar steady with U.S. CPI on tap; RBA holds rates as expected
August 11, 2026, 3:45 AM EDT. Australian shares climbed on Tuesday, led by strength in commodity-linked stocks which offset declines in banks. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept rates unchanged …
Australian Dollar dips after RBA's on-hold decision as traders eye post-meeting presser
The AUD/USD pair slides below mid-0.7000s after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its policy decision, though it lacks follow-through.
Australian Dollar falls sharply against Yen after RBA’s monetary policy decision
The Australian Dollar (AUD) faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.15% lower at around 112.20 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the Asian trading session on Tuesday.
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Aussie spikes down below 0.7050 as RBA’s Bullock speaks
The Australian Dollar (AUD) has reacted with moderate declines against the US Dollar (USD) following Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michelle Bullock's speech on Tuesday. The AUD/USD spiked down be…